May 31, 2022
Simultaneous Occurrence of 75th Percentile Fires Correlation between the Northwest and other US Regions
Correlation between the number of large fires (i.e., greater than the historic 75th percentile of size in that region) occurring per month in the Northwest Geographic Area Coordination Center (...
Projected seasonality of simultaneity comparing 1985-2015 and 2030-2060
Change in the number of simultaneous 1000+ acre wildfires in each Geographic Area Coordination Center (GACC) in the Western US comparing 1985-2015 and 2030-2060. These results are projected by a...
May 24, 2022
Timing of Peak Wildfire Simultaneity in US Regions
A decade to decade comparison of expected number of Geographic Area Coordination Centers (GACCs) that have peak simultaneity during the same calendar month. Peak simultaneity is defined as the greatest...
Simultaneous Occurrence of 1000+ Acre Fires in US Regions comparing 1984-2001 and 2002-2019
All Large Fires (1000+ acre) Very Large Fires (75th Percentile or greater) Change in simultaneous occurrence of 1000+ Acre and 75th Percentile fires, comparing 1984-2001 to 2002-2019. Both maps are...
Month of Peak Wildfire Simultaneity in US Regions
Expected number of Geographic Area Coordination Centers (GACCs) with peak simultaneity during the same calendar month, for all large fires (1,000+ acres). Peak simultaneity is the month of the calendar...
Wildfire Simultaneity – Correlation Between US Regions
Correlation of fire simultaneity and its statistical significance between Geographic Area Coordination Centers (GACCs) in the US as measured using the Kendall correlation coefficient. Simultaneity is defined as the number...
2040-2070 Median Annual Days Above Historical 97th Percentile ERC
Projected change in days with extreme fire weather between 1980-2010 to 2040-2070. The projected number of days with expected extreme fire weather for 2040-2070. The number of days with extreme...
2040-2070 Median Annual Days with Above Historical 97th Percentile ERC
Projected number of days with extreme fire weather for 2040-2070. The number of days with expected extreme fire weather is defined as the median number of days per year that...
Change in Fire Season Start and End Date based on Climate Model Projection of ERC
Projected change in the beginning and end of fire season across the continental United States. Fire season is defined as the period between the first and last day of exceedance...
Projected Fire Danger East Troublesome Fire (CO) comparing 1970-2000 and 2040-2070
Projected fire danger for the location of the East Troublesome Fire west of Fort Collins and Boulder, CO. Various fire season (defined here as May-Oct) percentile thresholds, average, and maximum...
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